PGA TOUR: Arnold Palmer Invitational
An abundance of bunkers, trees and water hazards make Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill course a relatively stiff test of golf. The key stats are par five scoring, hitting greens in regulation and putting.
OUTRIGHT: Tommy Fleetwood, 0.5 pts win and place 22/1 (1/5 odds 6 places)
Fleetwood has had few peers in terms of his ball striking on the PGA Tour this year resulting in notable finishes in the Honda and the WGC Mexico events. So he returns to a course which plays to his strengths in good form and looks set to at least improve on last year’s tied tenth place here, which would have been considerably better had it not been for a poor opening round 78.
OUTRIGHT: Tyrrell Hatton, 0.5 pts win and place 28/1 (1/5 odds 6 places)
Like Fleetwood, Hatton also has good course form here, finishing tied fourth last year despite an indifferent opening round of 72. He has acclimatised well on the PGA Tour this year with a most notable performance last time out in the WGC Mexico event where he finished third, narrowly missing a play-off place by making bogey on the 72nd hole. His all -round stats are excellent and, although question marks hang over his volatile temperament, he most certainly has the game to contend strongly here.
OUTRIGHT: Zach Johnson, 0.5 pts win and place 66/1 (1/5 odds 6 places)
In all honesty Johnson has struggled somewhat since his Open win in 2015 with the switch to PXG clubs has not helping the cause much. However he has had time to assimilate his new clubs and his most recent performance when he finished tied sixteenth in last week’s Valspar event despite a recalcitrant putter suggests he is not far away from contending strongly again. This event, where his recent record reads 3rd in 09, 11T in 12, 9T in 15 and 5th in 16, looks like one of his best chances to get back in the winner's circle so get with him at good value odds.