PGA TOUR: Tour Championship
The FedEx Cup series culminates in the Tour Championship this week which has been played on the East Lake course for a number of years so course form is well established. Generally the course favours accuracy over power but longer hitters have a definitive edge on the longer par 5's. Traditionally players near the top of the FedEx points rankings do well in this event.
OUTRIGHT: Justin Rose, 0.5 pts win and place 14/1 (1/4 odds 4 places)
With the flat stick now starting to behave better Rose is finally getting a payoff for his exceptional tee to green play with a FedEx playoff series record of two top ten place finishes and a tied second place last week in Chicago. That bodes well for him this week on a course where he has strong course form of 11T in 07, 2nd in 12, 6th in 13, 4T in 14 and 2T in 15.
OUTRIGHT: Marc Leishman, 0.5 pts win and place 22/1 (1/4 odds 4 places)
True it is hard to follow up a win in an event with another win but historically the FedeEx Cup has produced a number of back to back winners and that trend may continue this week. Leishman is in the form of his life right now to the extent that his winning score last week could have been even lower. So it may pay to ignore his lack of East Lake course form and focus on his great ball striking and putting to get him over the line this week.
EUROPEAN TOUR: Portugal Masters
The Victoria course in Vilamoura is resort style and, on the basis of recent events, looks like it favours longer hitters who can shoot plenty of birdies.
OUTRIGHT: George Coetzee, 0.5 pts win and place 35/1 (1/5 odds 6 places)
Coetzee bedded in some swing changes early season then took 6 weeks off on holiday midsummer. So whereas lack of any real form this season may be a concern his tied third finish last week in Holland may well presage a big finish to the season now that he is refreshed and raring to go. Recent course form is very encouraging with a tied sixth place in 2012 following up a tied third place in 2011.
OUTRIGHT: Lee Slattery, 0.5 pts win and place 60/1 (1/5 odds 6 places)
Although he has no useful course form here Slattery does have two tour wins behind him and few players in this relatively weak field are in better current form as him with three top ten finishes in his last five outings. All things considered he looks a very decent value play at these odds.